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  4. Long-Term Ecological Records and Their Relevance to Climate Change Predictions for a Warmer World

Long-Term Ecological Records and Their Relevance to Climate Change Predictions for a Warmer World

  • Link
    www.annualreviews.org/doi/10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-102209-144704
  • Autores
    "Willis, K.J. MacDonald, G.M."
  • Instituição do autor correspondente
    Biodiversity Institute, Department of Zoology
  • Contacto
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  • Revista e nº
    Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics 42: 267-287
  • Ano
    2011
  • DOI
    10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-102209-144704
Projeto
-
Resumo
This review focuses on biotic responses during intervals of time in the fossil record when the magnitude and rate of climate change exceeded or were comparable with those predicted to occur in the next century (Solomon et al. 2007). These include biotic responses during: (a) the Paleo-Eocene Thermal Maximum and early Eocene Climatic Optimum, (b) the mid-Pliocene warm interval, (c) the Eemian, and (d) the most recent glacial-interglacial transition into the Holocene. We argue that although the mechanisms responsible for these past changes in climate were different (i.e., natural processes rather than anthropogenic), the rate and magnitude of climate change were often similar to those predicted for the next century and therefore highly relevant to understanding future biotic responses. In all intervals we examine the fossil evidence for the three most commonly predicted future biotic scenarios, namely, extirpation, migration (in the form of a permanent range shift), or adaptation. Focusing predominantly on the terrestrial plant fossil record, we find little evidence for extirpation during warmer intervals; rather, range shifts, community turnover, adaptation, and sometimes an increase in diversity are observed.
Palavras-Chave
Eemian; Eocene; Holocene; biodiversity; climate warming; extinction; extirpation; mid-Pliocene; migration; persistence; range shifts; resilience \n
  • geral@cncalteracoesclimaticas.pt
© 2021 INIAV,I.P.

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PDR 2020 - Programa de Desenvolvimento Rural 2020

Portugal 2020

Fundo Europeu Agrícola de Desenvolvimento Rural (FEADER)

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