Climate change and interconnected risks to sustainable development in the Mediterranean
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Autor(es)"Cramer, Wolfgang Guiot, Joël Fader, Marianela Garrabou, Joaquim Gattuso, Jean-Pierre Iglesias, Ana Lange, Manfred A. Lionello, Piero Llasat, Maria Carmen Paz, Shlomit Peñuelas, Josep Snoussi, Maria Toreti, Andrea Tsimplis, Michael N. Xoplaki, Elena"
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Instituição do Autor correspondenteIMBE, Aix Marseille University, CNRS, IRD, Avignon Universit
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Revista e nºNature Climate Change 8: 972-980
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Ano2018
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DOI10.1038/s41558-018-0299-2
Projeto
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Resumo
Recent accelerated climate change has exacerbated existing environmental problems in the Mediterranean Basin that are caused by the combination of changes in land use, increasing pollution and declining biodiversity. For five broad and interconnected impact domains (water, ecosystems, food, health and security), current change and future scenarios consistently point to significant and increasing risks during the coming decades. Policies for the sustainable development of Mediterranean countries need to mitigate these risks and consider adaptation options, but currently lack adequate information — particularly for the most vulnerable southern Mediterranean societies, where fewer systematic observations schemes and impact models are based. A dedicated effort to synthesize existing scientific knowledge across disciplines is underway and aims to provide a better understanding of the combined risks posed.
Palavras-Chave
Agriculture; Climate; Ecosystem services; Environmental impact; Water resources; change impacts \n